Does Leclerc’s strategy show Hamilton should have finished higher than fourth?

2024 Abu Dhabi GP interactive data

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Lewis Hamilton’s recovery from 16th on the grid to finish fourth allowed him to leave Mercedes on a greater high than seemed likely after his Saturday setback.

But he took the chequered flag one place behind a driver he started three places ahead of. Does Charles Leclerc’s strategy show Hamilton, like the Ferrari driver, should have started the race on the medium tyre compound instead of the hards?

Both drivers made gains at the start, aided by Max Verstappen punting Oscar Piastri into a spin at the first corner and Sergio Perez being rotated by Valtteri Bottas. It put both on course to finish ahead of cars they might otherwise have had a hard time passing.

Hamilton was the only driver to start on the hard rubber, yet he picked up four places and started the second lap in 12th. But Leclerc’s softer rubber allowed him to make a quicker getaway and he completed the first lap in eighth place, a gain of 11 positions, by far the best start any driver has made all year.

Charles Leclerc, Ferrari, Yas Marina, 2024
Leclerc made an earlier switch to hards than his team mate
From there Leclerc continued to gain places on his medium rubber. By lap 12 he had picked off Fernando Alonso and the Haas pair. Hamilton was only just starting to get stuck into the midfielders ahead of him as their tyres began to fade. As others pitted, however, within two more laps only Verstappen separated him from Leclerc on the track, and he was doomed to serve a 10-second time penalty which would drop him behind the Mercedes.

Ferrari brought Leclerc in early for his first pit stop, spreading the strategy options between their drivers as they sought to apply pressure to race leaders and championship rivals McLaren. At this stage of the race a Safety Car intervention would have forced Hamilton into an earlier switch to medium rubber than he wanted, leaving him vulnerable at the end, but none came.

Instead he hung on until lap 34, the latest of any driver, before pitting. By this time Verstappen had finally come in and Mercedes waited as late as they dared before changing Hamilton’s tyres while he could still come out ahead of the world champion.

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Hamilton revelled in his medium rubber over the final stint, repeatedly setting fastest lap as he homed in on George Russell, eventually passing his team mate on the final lap. At one stage his team suggested a podium finish might be possible, but although Leclerc’s old hard tyres faded towards the end, he had sufficient time in hand to out-run his rival.

Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes, Yas Marina, 2024
Hamilton set a scorching pace on his medium rubber at the end
Could Hamilton have done even better on Leclerc’s strategy? The Ferrari driver’s incredible start was the key to his race, and although his softer rubber undoubtedly gave him a useful traction advantage at that point, Leclerc also deserves credit for how he exploited the opportunities which opened up to him. Race starts are unpredictable moments: Leclerc wasn’t just on the right tyres at the right time, he also put himself in the right places.

Hamilton’s pace at the end of the race should have delivered him the fastest lap, but Haas decided to brighten up Kevin Magnussen’s final race by letting him have a go for it. He had been taken out of contention when he became Bottas’s second victim earlier in proceedings.

A set of soft tyres allowed Magnussen to produce a 1’25.637 which was over a second and a half quicker than anyone else managed. As he finished 16th, he was not eligible to score the bonus point which went with it. This was the final race before the bonus point is dropped, so F1’s least necessary rule went out in a blaze of irrelevance.

2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix lap chart

The positions of each driver on every lap. Click name to highlight, right-click to reset. Toggle drivers using controls below:

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2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix race chart

The gaps between each driver on every lap compared to the leader’s average lap time. Very large gaps omitted. Scroll to zoom, drag to pan and right-click to reset. Toggle drivers using controls below:

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2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix lap times

All the lap times by the drivers (in seconds, very slow laps excluded). Scroll to zoom, drag to pan and toggle drivers using the control below:

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2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix fastest laps

Each driver’s fastest lap:

Rank # Driver Car Lap time Gap Avg. speed (kph) Lap no.
1 20 Kevin Magnussen Haas-Ferrari 1’25.637 222 57
2 44 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 1’27.278 1.641 217.83 44
3 4 Lando Norris McLaren-Mercedes 1’27.438 1.801 217.43 52
4 81 Oscar Piastri McLaren-Mercedes 1’27.690 2.053 216.8 51
5 1 Max Verstappen Red Bull-Honda RBPT 1’27.765 2.128 216.62 56
6 55 Carlos Sainz Jnr Ferrari 1’27.765 2.128 216.62 55
7 14 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin-Mercedes 1’27.948 2.311 216.17 51
8 24 Zhou Guanyu Sauber-Ferrari 1’27.982 2.345 216.09 56
9 16 Charles Leclerc Ferrari 1’28.018 2.381 216 51
10 63 George Russell Mercedes 1’28.195 2.558 215.56 56
11 18 Lance Stroll Aston Martin-Mercedes 1’28.604 2.967 214.57 42
12 30 Liam Lawson RB-Honda RBPT 1’28.751 3.114 214.21 52
13 61 Jack Doohan Alpine-Renault 1’29.121 3.484 213.32 56
14 27 Nico Hulkenberg Haas-Ferrari 1’29.152 3.515 213.25 17
15 22 Yuki Tsunoda RB-Honda RBPT 1’29.200 3.563 213.13 41
16 10 Pierre Gasly Alpine-Renault 1’29.212 3.575 213.11 37
17 43 Franco Colapinto Williams-Mercedes 1’29.411 3.774 212.63 5
18 23 Alexander Albon Williams-Mercedes 1’29.438 3.801 212.57 46
19 77 Valtteri Bottas Sauber-Ferrari 1’29.482 3.845 212.46 14

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2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix tyre strategies

The tyre strategies for each driver:

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2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix pit stop times

How long each driver’s pit stops took:

Rank # Driver Team Complete stop time (s) Gap to best (s) Stop no. Lap no.
1 4 Lando Norris McLaren 21.276 1 26
2 55 Carlos Sainz Jnr Ferrari 21.28 0.004 1 25
3 27 Nico Hulkenberg Haas 21.53 0.254 1 13
4 63 George Russell Mercedes 21.656 0.38 1 26
5 20 Kevin Magnussen Haas 21.678 0.402 2 29
6 44 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 21.694 0.418 1 34
7 16 Charles Leclerc Ferrari 21.869 0.593 1 20
8 22 Yuki Tsunoda RB 21.869 0.593 1 22
9 18 Lance Stroll Aston Martin 22.053 0.777 2 32
10 10 Pierre Gasly Alpine 22.059 0.783 1 14
11 23 Alexander Albon Williams 22.065 0.789 1 12
12 61 Jack Doohan Alpine 22.08 0.804 1 22
13 20 Kevin Magnussen Haas 22.09 0.814 4 55
14 14 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin 22.437 1.161 2 37
15 20 Kevin Magnussen Haas 22.815 1.539 3 30
16 24 Zhou Guanyu Sauber 23.024 1.748 1 12
17 18 Lance Stroll Aston Martin 23.266 1.99 1 11
18 14 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin 23.326 2.05 1 13
19 30 Liam Lawson RB 23.415 2.139 1 23
20 81 Oscar Piastri McLaren 23.582 2.306 1 4
21 43 Franco Colapinto Williams 24.941 3.665 1 3
22 20 Kevin Magnussen Haas 26.363 5.087 1 12
23 24 Zhou Guanyu Sauber 28.765 7.489 2 39
24 1 Max Verstappen Red Bull 32.652 11.376 1 29
25 81 Oscar Piastri McLaren 32.774 11.498 2 32
26 77 Valtteri Bottas Sauber 41.144 19.868 1 6

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2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

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Author information

Keith Collantine
Lifelong motor sport fan Keith set up RaceFans in 2005 - when it was originally called F1 Fanatic. Having previously worked as a motoring...

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7 comments on “Does Leclerc’s strategy show Hamilton should have finished higher than fourth?”

  1. Hamilton had the better strategy for someone starting in his grid position. Leclerc’s only worked as well as it did because of his ridiculous opening lap. If he hadn’t made all those overtakes he could easily have got bogged down behind someone on a similar strategy and made little progress. Same would have happened to Hamilton had he started on the mediums – it was the tyre delta late in the race that helped him put in such good laps to catch and pass all those cars.

    1. Yeah, I agree there @red-andy, Leclerc made some really good moves and the two crashes helped him “cash in” on the circumstances nobody could have accounted for ahead of the race.

  2. Leclerc was aided massively by the Bottas-Perez clash that bottled up the field at the chicane and he sailed right around the mess. I don’t think it’s a fair basis to say it shows where Hamilton could have been. Maybe better speculation is if Hamilton stopped earlier because his tires were still good at the and and he was just taking like a second a lap out of people ahead.

    1. Nothing like that for sure. LEC was ahead of BOT in the middle of the corner and side by side with PER when he started to spun. LEC passed like 5-6 cars on merit, BOT and PER included, just in the last 200 meters before the chicane + chicane.

    2. He was P8 after the chicane, more exactly.

  3. Michael (@freelittlebirds)
    9th December 2024, 3:11

    Hamilton had a hard time clearing Lawson at the start of the race as he was on hards and Lawson on mediums. Verstappen pulled 5 seconds ahead before Hamilton could clear Lawson.

    That’s why it pays to have a 2nd team that make themselves scarce.

  4. The Ferrari was quicker than the Mercedes.

Comments are closed.